Editor’s Note: This is an edited transcript
of an interview conducted by Ian Masters with Vincent Cannistaro, the former CIA head of counterterrorism operations and intelligence
director at the National Security Council under Ronald Reagan, which aired on the Los Angeles public radio KPFK on April 3,
Ian Masters: You’ve been following President Bush’s
commission’s report that came out this week, featuring fairly much, in terms of the press coverage, questions about
“Curveball,” apparently a very appropriately named agent that the German intelligence was working. And, apparently
his intelligence was heavily relied upon as a justification for going into war, particularly a lot of his claims ending up
in the speech that Colin Powell made before the U.N.. And apparently, though, from the very beginning, the Germans were letting
our side know that the guy was a fabricator and was, in fact, crazy. First of all, I didn’t think the CIA relied that
heavily upon foreign intelligence. I thought there was a kind of professional sense that our taxpayers give us $30 billion
dollars a year, we should be able to do this on our own and not rely on others. First of all, address that, sort of, cultural
question if you will.
Well, I think in the case of Iraq, there were special circumstances,
because the CIA does not have a good network of Iraqi sources in place, even though Iraq had become the forefront of U.S.
policy all the way back to the Gulf War in 1991. So there was a dearth of information coming from CIA’s own sources.
Secondly, there was an awful lot of so-called information coming from Iraqi exiles, primarily Ahmed Chalabi’s INC—the
Iraqi National Congress. And that seemed to have a very receptive audience in some areas of the government, particularly at
the Defense Department and at the vice president’s office. These were reports that tended to support the preconception
of the administration that Saddam Hussein needed to be gotten rid of, and the primary reason for doing that was that he was
in imminent possession of weapons of mass destruction, which could be turned against the United States of America or its allies.
So in that kind of environment — where there’s
a tremendous policy need for information and you don’t have a great deal of source information that’s proprietary
— then that’s how information that seems to be comprehensive, coming in from a foreign source, is overemphasized.
Well, in this case, the Germans had told the CIA’s
head of the European desk on the operations side, Tyler Drumheller, who I spoke to, but he wasn’t comfortable going
on the radio. He was told by Curveball’s handlers in Germany that the guy was crazy and a fabricator and the real question,
I guess, is he passed this information on to the top people inside the agency, the Deputy Director McLaughlin and the Director
George Tenet, both of whom are now — well, I don’t know about McLaughlin. He works for CNN. But, I believe George
Tenet says he doesn’t remember the conversation.
Well, I think there’s no question that there’s
a sequence of events that still remains a bit clouded, mainly because the report itself indicts the whole incident as an egregious
example of a failure of intelligence.
To put it in some perspective, Curveball was an Iraqi chemical
engineer, who allegedly defected and showed up at a refugee camp in Germany. He was then being exploited by German intelligence
for information. Allied countries to the United States had all been alerted to the U.S. need for information on Iraq and on
weapons of mass destruction programs in Iraq. And so the Germans exploited this information.
But the first cut of the information was passed to the DIA,
not to the CIA. That’s the Defense Intelligence Agency, the Pentagon’s intelligence collection unit. And that
information then was disseminated by DIA to the CIA. So the CIA never had any direct access to Curveball, a codename provided
by the Germans to this defector source. The interesting thing to me is that the only DIA analyst who ever met with Curveball
— who went to Germany and was given access to him — came back with an assessment which was very, very negative.
The problem was: what happened to his assessment? It didn’t
get reported up through the senior levels of DIA — and therefore it didn’t get disseminated to CIA — until
the Germans were directly queried by CIA on Curveball. That’s when they said, “Look this guy may be a fabricator,
don’t trust any of his information.” His information had already gotten into the system, because it had been disseminated
by the head of the Defense Intelligence Agency. And it had been distributed through our government, where of course in some
sectors — particularly the Defense Department policymakers civilian policy makers and at the vice president’s
office — it found an extremely receptive audience.
It was believed because it fit the preconceptions of those
policy makers. Now, why did the CIA — which ultimately was responsible for putting the National Intelligence Estimate
together in 2002, which was the most critical assessment of any intelligence report that the U.S. government has to offer
— put the information in there and play a part in its key judgment of alleged WMD programs by Saddam Hussein? And that’s
the question which is still not answered. We do know that some of the analysts at CIA were very suspicious of the Curveball
information, as well as information provided by other so-called Iraqi defectors in exile. But that information, that assessment,
was reported up through the chain of command at CIA, but apparently nothing was done about it.
So nothing was done to dampen down the expectations of some
of the senior policymakers that this was genuine information. And it got into, as we know, Secretary of State Colin Powell’s
address to the United Nations Security Council — with disastrous results, because the information was totally false.
At the time, some analysts that I spoke to were very critical of the information, but they were not able to impress senior
leadership, meaning George Tenet and John McLaughlin, his deputy, with their doubts. Their doubts were never reflected, either
in Colin Powell’s speech, or in the National Intelligence Estimate itself.
The importance of the NIE, the National Intelligence Estimate,
is that that was the document upon which the senators made that vote — and of course, the most fateful vote of all was
John Kerry’s vote — to support the war, or to authorize the use of force.
Absolutely. The NIE is considered [the] most important intelligence
analysis that the U.S. government produces. It’s supposed to reflect the collective wisdom of the intelligence community
on a particular issue. And that’s why, while it is supervised by a member of the National Intelligence Council, which
is at the CIA, all the intelligence community members play a role in contributing to it. And in this case, the minority opinions
of some agencies, such as the Department of Energy, Department of State, were relegated to minor footnotes, which really didn’t
capture the attention of the reader of the NIE itself. So, yes, the NIE — which as we know now was corrupted by false
intelligence and in some cases fabricated, deliberately fabricated, information — it played a critical role in getting
the U.S. Senate to vote in favor of war with Iraq.
At the time, you were quoted in some articles as saying
that you had heard of dissent within the agency and people that were being, sort of, steamrollered by the administration.
Give us some sense of what was happening at the time. Having spoken, again, with the key guy in the agency, Tyler Drumheller,
he said, he understood that on the analysis side, there were people that actually either were fired or who quit. Not so much
on the operations side that he was a part of, but on the analysis side there was some real frustration apparently.
Well, there was a tremendous amount of pressure on the analysts
and even though the Silberman-Robb report dismisses political pressure on the process—they were not given that as an
assignment by the president—they weren’t allowed ...
Well, that wouldn’t ... you couldn’t ... we
shouldn’t be surprised by that.
No, we’re not surprised by it. But, the point is that
it’s being taken as conventional wisdom that there really wasn’t any pressure by policy makers on the analytical
process itself. And that’s just simply not true. It’s simply not true because analysts, generally, are like anyone
else. They are concerned about their careers, their futures. Many of them are ambitious. If they understand that a dissenting
opinion against the conventional policy wisdom is heard, that it’s going to affect their careers. There was a chilled
environment in which to express any kind of opposite opinion.
Not only that, there wasn’t very much of a receptiveness
at the senior levels of the CIA — at George Tenet’s level, for example, because he was a very political director.
And he was very concerned about getting along with the administration. He was formerly a Democrat, appointed by a Democratic
President and he had to stay on in a Republican administration. And he had to compete with a secretary of defense, Rumsfeld,
who really didn’t want the CIA playing a large role in the intelligence community, and wanted to supplant that role.
So, George had a more political bent. He wanted to get along, and therefore he had to play along. And “playing along”
really meant to sustain the conceptions of the policy makers — particularly at the Pentagon and the vice president’s
office — that Saddam Hussein was a real and imminent danger.
To do that, you had to accept some of these alarming reports
that kept coming in, being fed by Ahmed Chalabi and his INC group. In many cases, the information was fabricated. Information,
for example, about an alleged attempt by Saddam Hussein to acquire nuclear material, uranium, from Niger. This, we know now,
was all based on fabricated documents. But it’s not clear yet — either from this report, or from any other report
— who fabricated the documents.
The documents were fabricated by supporters of the policy in
the United States. The policy being that you had to invade Iraq in order to get rid of Saddam Hussein, and you had to do it
soon to avoid the catastrophe that would be produced by Saddam Hussein’s use of alleged weapons of mass destruction.
Well, Ambassador Wilson publicly refuted the claims —
particularly the 16 words in the President’s State of the Union address that the Iraqis were trying to buy significant
quantities of uranium from Niger. That document, I understand, was fabricated ... it originally came out of Italian intelligence,
I think SISME, or SISDE—I’m not sure which one.
It was SISME, yeah. ...
[D]uring the two-thousands when we’re talking about acquiring
information on Iraq. It isn’t that anyone had a good source on Iraq—there weren’t any good sources. The
Italian intelligence service, the military intelligence service, was acquiring information that was really being hand-fed
to them by very dubious sources. The Niger documents, for example, which apparently were produced in the United States, yet
were funneled through the Italians.
Do we know who produced those documents? Because there’s
some suspicion ...
I think I do, but I’d rather not speak about it right
now, because I don’t think it’s a proven case ...
If I said “Michael Ledeen” ?
You’d be very close . . .
Well, again, Vincent Cannistraro, the feeling you get is
that, from going back to, let’s agree that 9/11 is the greatest intelligence catastrophe since Pearl Harbor, and then
the WMD catastrophe that followed it. These are two huge embarrassments and it seems to be that the way the White House has
handled it’s as though you have a car accident. And instead of blaming the driver, you are blaming the car here. So,
do you believe that, you know, that this process — whether it was the intention or not — it’s certainly
worked out in such a way to exonerate the White House and to lay the blame with the wrong . . .
I think that’s certainly the objective. To lay it off
to the intelligence community. But, it’s very disingenuous. It’s like saying, OK, the intelligence community that
we whipped into a frenzy in order to provide information to sustain our policy conclusions that Saddam had a WMD program and
that he was an imminent danger — that intelligence community provided information that now turns out not to be correct.
And that’s why we were misled into saying what we did say, and doing what we did do. That’s very disingenuous,
because that’s not the case at all.
The case was that this was not a fact-based policy that the
U.S. government adopted. It was a policy-based decision that drove the intelligence, and not the other way around. And that’s,
of course, the reverse of the process. You had a lot of people who played along to get along, and they understood that in
that kind of administration, you couldn’t say exactly what it is that you really believed.
Now, having said all that, it’s not to exonerate the
intelligence community, because, clearly, there were major gaps. And I think the major gap was the failure of, specifically,
the CIA and the DIA to develop their own proprietary Iraqi sources that could be in a position to give them the kind of information
they really needed — rather than having this dependence on foreign sources that you did not have direct access to. There’s
nothing wrong in dealing with a liaison and sharing information. But, to be utterly a hundred percent — not 100 percent,
let’s say, but 98 percent — dependent on such sources is a telling criticism of the American intelligence community
for having failed to recognize that this was a priority that they needed to develop sources on. They had plenty of time to
do it. They didn’t do it. And, again, you see some of this married in some of the other intelligence failures, such
as 9/11 and the failure to penetrate al Qaeda. The problem really began when there was no appreciation for what al Qaeda was.
That it was a threat. And I think that’s the same rationale that drove the Iraqi programs as well.
This particular White House coined the phrase “the
axis of evil,” naming Iraq, Iran and North Korea, and it’s worth noting that we didn’t have any diplomatic
relations with all three of those countries Then, Iran, where there’s rumors of war, in terms of some pre-emption against
their developing nuclear weapons. North Korea, estimates are that they had maybe two, now since they’ve been reprocessing
fuel rods for plutonium, they have up to six. Again, we don’t have any representation. So, isn’t that the heart
of the problem, that you’ve got all the overhead collections from the satellites, but, unless you have people on the
ground, you’re flying blind. And it gets to the real question, which is why do we have this foreign policy rigidity
here, where we don’t recognize these countries. I mean, couldn’t you just recognize these countries just for the
sake of getting people in there?
Well, I mean, it’s a good point. The question is the
areas where we are very deficient on in terms of understanding the societies and understanding the policy decisions that are
being made in those societies are areas where we have no official representation. We have no real official dialog. And that
is part of the problem. In that kind of absence of contact, you’re really susceptible to people who have their own agenda,
North Korea is an example where we don’t know in the
U.S. government how many weapons they may have. There are estimates which range from four — which is the last one I’ve
seen at the CIA — to 14, which comes out of DIA. That’s a huge disparity in estimate. And it just really tells
you that we just don’t have solid information. And when you don’t, how do you devise a rational policy to deal
with those countries. And I think the one spin-off from the Silberman-Robb report — as well as other reports that were
made by the Senate and the National Commission on Terrorism — will be to cast doubt on the basis of any aggressive policies
that the Bush administration takes against Iran, in particular, over the next few years.
Ian Masters is the host of the radio programs Background
Briefing (Sundays from 11am - 12 noon) and Live From the Left coast (Sundays from 12 noon - 1pm), heard on KPFK 90.7FM Los
Angeles. The full transcript and mp3 audio of the Vincent Cannistraro interview is available at IanMasters.org.